FootyTips 
Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace 
Prediction
· Matchweek 9 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Match Status
Tottenham Hotspur 2-0 Crystal Palace · FT · Hit
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model sees this as a close match, with Tottenham Hotspur narrowly favoured (42%). Overall probabilities: Tottenham Hotspur 42%, draw 26%, Crystal Palace 32%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: Low · top outcome 42%
model top outcome · 42%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Crypto Sportsbook Odds
Full comparison below; tap any book to verify the live price. We show a periodic snapshot, and odds move.
Odds snapshot: Oct 18, 08:02 PM UTC.
| Sportsbook | Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|---|
| stake ↗ | 1.65 | 4.1 | 4.8 |
| cloudbet ↗ | 1.6 | 4.05 | 4.8 |
| roobet | 1.64 | 4.1 | 4.8 |
| duelbits ↗ | 1.68 | 4 | 4.7 |
| ★ Best | 1.68 duelbits | 4.1 stake | 4.8 stake |
Best price = highest decimal odds across the compared books (via OddsPapi). Bold = best in column. Tap a sportsbook to verify the live price on their site. Measured sportsbook data & methodology →
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Tottenham Hotspur 42% / Draw 26% / Crystal Palace 32%; expected goals 1.46-1.25; BTTS 55%; blended best estimate 51.2%/24.5%/24.3%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Hit: Final score Tottenham Hotspur 2-0 Crystal Palace. Model pick: Tottenham Hotspur. Actual result: Tottenham Hotspur.
Brier contribution: 0.5095 · settled 2026-11-06
Win Probability
- Tottenham Hotspur win: 42%
- Draw: 26%
- Crystal Palace win: 32%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.46 - 1.25
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Tottenham Hotspur Elo 1673 · Crystal Palace Elo 1648
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-10-31. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has this a tight, evenly-matched Matchweek 9 fixture at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium: Tottenham Hotspur 42%, the draw 26%, Crystal Palace 32%. With a modest Elo edge to Tottenham Hotspur (1673 vs 1648), Tottenham Hotspur are only narrow favourites, and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?
Tottenham Hotspur are favoured at 42%. Tottenham Hotspur 42% / Draw 26% / Crystal Palace 32%.
What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 57.4% Tottenham Hotspur win, 23.0% draw, 19.7% Crystal Palace win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 51.2% / 24.5% / 24.3%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.