FootyTips 
Brentford vs Tottenham Hotspur 
Prediction
· Matchweek 1 · Gtech Community Stadium
Match Status
Brentford 3-0 Tottenham Hotspur · FT · Hit
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Brentford to win at 53%. Overall probabilities: Brentford 53%, draw 24%, Tottenham Hotspur 23%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 53%
model top outcome · 53%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Brentford 53% / Draw 24% / Tottenham Hotspur 23%; expected goals 1.73-1.05; BTTS 54%; blended best estimate 44.7%/25.7%/29.5%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Hit: Final score Brentford 3-0 Tottenham Hotspur. Model pick: Brentford. Actual result: Brentford.
Brier contribution: 0.3301 · settled 2026-09-20
Win Probability
- Brentford win: 53%
- Draw: 24%
- Tottenham Hotspur win: 23%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.73 - 1.05
- Over 2.5: 53%
- Both teams to score: 54%
Model Ratings
Brentford Elo 1759 · Tottenham Hotspur Elo 1621
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-22. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model makes Brentford clear favourites at 53% in this Matchweek 1 fixture at Gtech Community Stadium — Brentford 53%, the draw 24%, Tottenham Hotspur 23%. A clear Elo edge to Brentford (1759 vs 1621), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Brentford vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Brentford are favoured at 53%. Brentford 53% / Draw 24% / Tottenham Hotspur 23%.
What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Brentford vs Tottenham Hotspur?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 39.2% Brentford win, 26.3% draw, 34.5% Tottenham Hotspur win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 44.7% / 25.7% / 29.5%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Brentford vs Tottenham Hotspur have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Brentford vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.