FootyTips 
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United 
Prediction
· Matchweek 8 · Selhurst Park
Match Status
Crystal Palace 0-2 Newcastle United · FT · Hit
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model sees this as a close match, with Newcastle United narrowly favoured (38%). Overall probabilities: Crystal Palace 36%, draw 26%, Newcastle United 38%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: Low · top outcome 38%
model top outcome · 38%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Crypto Sportsbook Odds
Full comparison below; tap any book to verify the live price. We show a periodic snapshot, and odds move.
Odds snapshot: Oct 18, 08:02 PM UTC.
| Sportsbook | Crystal Palace | Draw | Newcastle United |
|---|---|---|---|
| stake ↗ | 2.85 | 3.65 | 2.3 |
| cloudbet ↗ | 2.9 | 3.55 | 2.35 |
| roobet | 2.78 | 3.55 | 2.38 |
| duelbits ↗ | 2.85 | 3.6 | 2.37 |
| ★ Best | 2.9 cloudbet | 3.65 stake | 2.38 roobet |
Best price = highest decimal odds across the compared books (via OddsPapi). Bold = best in column. Tap a sportsbook to verify the live price on their site. Measured sportsbook data & methodology →
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Citable facts: Crystal Palace 36% / Draw 26% / Newcastle United 38%; expected goals 1.32-1.38; BTTS 55%; blended best estimate 34.3%/26.4%/39.2%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Hit: Final score Crystal Palace 0-2 Newcastle United. Model pick: Newcastle United. Actual result: Newcastle United.
Brier contribution: 0.5801 · settled 2026-11-06
Win Probability
- Crystal Palace win: 36%
- Draw: 26%
- Newcastle United win: 38%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.32 - 1.38
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Crystal Palace Elo 1648 · Newcastle United Elo 1707
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-10-25. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
The model installs this a tight, evenly-matched Matchweek 8 fixture at Selhurst Park: Crystal Palace 36%, the draw 26%, Newcastle United 38%. With a modest Elo edge to Newcastle United (1707 vs 1648), Newcastle United are only narrow favourites, and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United?
Newcastle United are favoured at 38%. Crystal Palace 36% / Draw 26% / Newcastle United 38%.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 33.5% Crystal Palace win, 26.5% draw, 40.0% Newcastle United win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 34.3% / 26.4% / 39.2%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.