FootyTips 
Fulham vs Hull City 
Prediction
· Matchweek 7 · Craven Cottage
Match Status
Fulham 1-0 Hull City · FT · Hit
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Fulham to win at 62%. Overall probabilities: Fulham 62%, draw 22%, Hull City 16%; model score 2-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 62%
model top outcome · 62%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Fulham 62% / Draw 22% / Hull City 16%; expected goals 1.99-0.92; BTTS 52%; blended best estimate 58.3%/23.1%/18.6%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Hit: Final score Fulham 1-0 Hull City. Model pick: Fulham. Actual result: Fulham.
Brier contribution: 0.2153 · settled 2026-11-06
Win Probability
- Fulham win: 62%
- Draw: 22%
- Hull City win: 16%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 2-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.99 - 0.92
- Over 2.5: 56%
- Both teams to score: 52%
Model Ratings
Fulham Elo 1699 · Hull City Elo 1501
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-10-16. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
The model installs Fulham clear favourites at 62% in this Matchweek 7 fixture at Craven Cottage — Fulham 62%, the draw 22%, Hull City 16%. A clear Elo edge to Fulham (1699 vs 1501), and the model score forecast is 2–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 52%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Fulham vs Hull City?
Fulham are favoured at 62%. Fulham 62% / Draw 22% / Hull City 16%.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Hull City?
Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Fulham vs Hull City?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 55.7% Fulham win, 24.2% draw, 20.2% Hull City win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 58.3% / 23.1% / 18.6%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Fulham vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Hull City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 52%.