FootyTips 
Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur 
Prediction
· Matchweek 10 · Elland Road
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Leeds United to win at 56%. Overall probabilities: Leeds United 56%, draw 23%, Tottenham Hotspur 21%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 56%
model top outcome · 56%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Leeds United 56% / Draw 23% / Tottenham Hotspur 21%; expected goals 1.82-1.00; BTTS 53%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Leeds United win: 56%
- Draw: 23%
- Tottenham Hotspur win: 21%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.82 - 1.00
- Over 2.5: 54%
- Both teams to score: 53%
Model Ratings
Leeds United Elo 1757 · Tottenham Hotspur Elo 1621
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model makes Leeds United clear favourites at 56% in this Matchweek 10 fixture at Elland Road — Leeds United 56%, the draw 23%, Tottenham Hotspur 21%. A clear Elo edge to Leeds United (1757 vs 1621), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Leeds United are favoured at 56%. Leeds United 56% / Draw 23% / Tottenham Hotspur 21%.
What is the predicted score for Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.