Coventry City vs Hull City
Prediction
· Matchweek 2 · The Coventry Building Society Arena
Match Status
Coventry City 0-1 Hull City · FT · Miss
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Coventry City to win at 57%. Overall probabilities: Coventry City 57%, draw 23%, Hull City 20%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 57%
model top outcome · 57%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Citable facts: Coventry City 57% / Draw 23% / Hull City 20%; expected goals 1.82-1.00; BTTS 53%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Miss: Final score Coventry City 0-1 Hull City. Model pick: Coventry City. Actual result: Hull City.
Brier contribution: 1.0093 · settled 2026-09-20
Win Probability
- Coventry City win: 57%
- Draw: 23%
- Hull City win: 20%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.82 - 1.00
- Over 2.5: 54%
- Both teams to score: 53%
Model Ratings
Coventry City Elo 1563 · Hull City Elo 1499
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-29. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has Coventry City clear favourites at 57% in this Matchweek 2 fixture at The Coventry Building Society Arena — Coventry City 57%, the draw 23%, Hull City 20%. A modest Elo edge to Coventry City (1563 vs 1499), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Coventry City vs Hull City?
Coventry City are favoured at 57%. Coventry City 57% / Draw 23% / Hull City 20%.
What is the predicted score for Coventry City vs Hull City?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Coventry City vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Coventry City vs Hull City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.



