FootyTips 
Everton vs Ipswich Town 
Prediction
· Matchweek 5 · Hill Dickinson Stadium
Match Status
Everton 1-0 Ipswich Town · FT · Hit
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Everton to win at 57%. Overall probabilities: Everton 57%, draw 23%, Ipswich Town 20%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 57%
model top outcome · 57%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Everton 57% / Draw 23% / Ipswich Town 20%; expected goals 1.83-0.99; BTTS 53%; blended best estimate 54.6%/24.2%/21.1%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Hit: Final score Everton 1-0 Ipswich Town. Model pick: Everton. Actual result: Everton.
Brier contribution: 0.2804 · settled 2026-09-20
Win Probability
- Everton win: 57%
- Draw: 23%
- Ipswich Town win: 20%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.83 - 0.99
- Over 2.5: 54%
- Both teams to score: 53%
Model Ratings
Everton Elo 1721 · Ipswich Town Elo 1580
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-19. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has Everton clear favourites at 57% in this Matchweek 5 fixture at Hill Dickinson Stadium — Everton 57%, the draw 23%, Ipswich Town 20%. A clear Elo edge to Everton (1721 vs 1580), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Everton vs Ipswich Town?
Everton are favoured at 57%. Everton 57% / Draw 23% / Ipswich Town 20%.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Ipswich Town?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Everton vs Ipswich Town?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 53.2% Everton win, 24.9% draw, 21.9% Ipswich Town win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 54.6% / 24.2% / 21.1%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Everton vs Ipswich Town have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Ipswich Town?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.