FootyTips 
Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton 
Prediction
· Matchweek 4 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Match Status
Tottenham Hotspur 0-0 Everton · FT · Miss
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model sees this as a close match, with Everton narrowly favoured (42%). Overall probabilities: Tottenham Hotspur 32%, draw 26%, Everton 42%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: Low · top outcome 42%
model top outcome · 42%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Tottenham Hotspur 32% / Draw 26% / Everton 42%; expected goals 1.25-1.46; BTTS 55%; blended best estimate 41.2%/26.6%/32.2%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Miss: Final score Tottenham Hotspur 0-0 Everton. Model pick: Everton. Actual result: Draw.
Brier contribution: 0.8245 · settled 2026-09-20
Win Probability
- Tottenham Hotspur win: 32%
- Draw: 26%
- Everton win: 42%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.25 - 1.46
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Tottenham Hotspur Elo 1621 · Everton Elo 1721
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-12. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates this a tight, evenly-matched Matchweek 4 fixture at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium: Tottenham Hotspur 32%, the draw 26%, Everton 42%. With a clear Elo edge to Everton (1721 vs 1621), Everton are only narrow favourites, and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton?
Everton are favoured at 42%. Tottenham Hotspur 32% / Draw 26% / Everton 42%.
What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 47.5% Tottenham Hotspur win, 26.2% draw, 26.3% Everton win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 41.2% / 26.6% / 32.2%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.