FootyTips 
Arsenal vs Hull City 
Prediction
· Matchweek 10 · Emirates Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Arsenal to win at 90%. Overall probabilities: Arsenal 90%, draw 7%, Hull City 3%; model score 3-0.
Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 90%
model top outcome · 90%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Arsenal 90% / Draw 7% / Hull City 3%; expected goals 3.50-0.52; BTTS 39%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Arsenal win: 90%
- Draw: 7%
- Hull City win: 3%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 3-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 3.50 - 0.52
- Over 2.5: 76%
- Both teams to score: 39%
Model Ratings
Arsenal Elo 1979 · Hull City Elo 1433
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model makes Arsenal clear favourites at 90% in this Matchweek 10 fixture at Emirates Stadium — Arsenal 90%, the draw 7%, Hull City 3%. A big Elo gap in Arsenal's favour (1979 vs 1433), and the model score forecast is 3–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams to score at 39%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Arsenal vs Hull City?
Arsenal are favoured at 90%. Arsenal 90% / Draw 7% / Hull City 3%.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Hull City?
Our model score forecast is 3-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Arsenal vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Hull City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 39%.