FootyTips 
Liverpool vs Manchester City 
Prediction
· Matchweek 6 · Anfield
Match Status
Liverpool 0-3 Manchester City · FT · Hit
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Manchester City to win at 46%. Overall probabilities: Liverpool 28%, draw 26%, Manchester City 46%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 46%
model top outcome · 46%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Liverpool 28% / Draw 26% / Manchester City 46%; expected goals 1.17-1.56; BTTS 55%; blended best estimate 30.2%/25.7%/44.1%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Hit: Final score Liverpool 0-3 Manchester City. Model pick: Manchester City. Actual result: Manchester City.
Brier contribution: 0.4344 · settled 2026-11-06
Win Probability
- Liverpool win: 28%
- Draw: 26%
- Manchester City win: 46%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.17 - 1.56
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Liverpool Elo 1838 · Manchester City Elo 1965
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-10-11. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has Manchester City clear favourites at 46% in this Matchweek 6 fixture at Anfield — Liverpool 28%, the draw 26%, Manchester City 46%. A clear Elo edge to Manchester City (1965 vs 1838), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Liverpool vs Manchester City?
Manchester City are favoured at 46%. Liverpool 28% / Draw 26% / Manchester City 46%.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Manchester City?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Liverpool vs Manchester City?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 31.5% Liverpool win, 25.8% draw, 42.7% Manchester City win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 30.2% / 25.7% / 44.1%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Liverpool vs Manchester City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Manchester City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.