FootyTips 
Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest 
Prediction
· Matchweek 2 · Anfield
Match Status
Liverpool 2-2 Nottingham Forest · FT · Miss
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Liverpool to win at 53%. Overall probabilities: Liverpool 53%, draw 24%, Nottingham Forest 23%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 53%
model top outcome · 53%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Liverpool 53% / Draw 24% / Nottingham Forest 23%; expected goals 1.72-1.06; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Miss: Final score Liverpool 2-2 Nottingham Forest. Model pick: Liverpool. Actual result: Draw.
Brier contribution: 0.9028 · settled 2026-09-20
Win Probability
- Liverpool win: 53%
- Draw: 24%
- Nottingham Forest win: 23%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.72 - 1.06
- Over 2.5: 53%
- Both teams to score: 54%
Model Ratings
Liverpool Elo 1826 · Nottingham Forest Elo 1744
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-29. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model makes Liverpool clear favourites at 53% in this Matchweek 2 fixture at Anfield — Liverpool 53%, the draw 24%, Nottingham Forest 23%. A clear Elo edge to Liverpool (1826 vs 1744), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?
Liverpool are favoured at 53%. Liverpool 53% / Draw 24% / Nottingham Forest 23%.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.