Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City
Prediction
· Matchweek 7 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Match Status
Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 Coventry City · FT · Hit
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Tottenham Hotspur to win at 45%. Overall probabilities: Tottenham Hotspur 45%, draw 26%, Coventry City 29%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: Low · top outcome 45%
model top outcome · 45%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Crypto Sportsbook Odds
Full comparison below; tap any book to verify the live price. We show a periodic snapshot, and odds move.
Odds snapshot: Oct 18, 08:02 PM UTC.
| Sportsbook | Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Coventry City |
|---|---|---|---|
| stake ↗ | 1.49 | 4.6 | 6.2 |
| cloudbet ↗ | 1.5 | 4.6 | 5.95 |
| roobet | 1.48 | 4.4 | 6.2 |
| duelbits ↗ | 1.5 | 4.6 | 6.1 |
| ★ Best | 1.5 cloudbet | 4.6 stake | 6.2 stake |
Best price = highest decimal odds across the compared books (via OddsPapi). Bold = best in column. Tap a sportsbook to verify the live price on their site. Measured sportsbook data & methodology →
Citable facts: Tottenham Hotspur 45% / Draw 26% / Coventry City 29%; expected goals 1.53-1.19; BTTS 55%; blended best estimate 57.2%/22.7%/20.1%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Hit: Final score Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 Coventry City. Model pick: Tottenham Hotspur. Actual result: Tottenham Hotspur.
Brier contribution: 0.4588 · settled 2026-11-06
Win Probability
- Tottenham Hotspur win: 45%
- Draw: 26%
- Coventry City win: 29%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.53 - 1.19
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Tottenham Hotspur Elo 1673 · Coventry City Elo 1598
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-10-16. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model makes Tottenham Hotspur clear favourites at 45% in this Matchweek 7 fixture at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium — Tottenham Hotspur 45%, the draw 26%, Coventry City 29%. A modest Elo edge to Tottenham Hotspur (1673 vs 1598), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?
Tottenham Hotspur are favoured at 45%. Tottenham Hotspur 45% / Draw 26% / Coventry City 29%.
What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 64.9% Tottenham Hotspur win, 20.1% draw, 15.0% Coventry City win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 57.2% / 22.7% / 20.1%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.



