FootyTips 
Ipswich Town vs Liverpool 
Prediction
· Matchweek 3 · Portman Road
Match Status
Ipswich Town 0-2 Liverpool · FT · Hit
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Liverpool to win at 58%. Overall probabilities: Ipswich Town 19%, draw 23%, Liverpool 58%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 58%
model top outcome · 58%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Ipswich Town 19% / Draw 23% / Liverpool 58%; expected goals 0.98-1.86; BTTS 53%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Hit: Final score Ipswich Town 0-2 Liverpool. Model pick: Liverpool. Actual result: Liverpool.
Brier contribution: 0.2670 · settled 2026-09-20
Win Probability
- Ipswich Town win: 19%
- Draw: 23%
- Liverpool win: 58%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.98 - 1.86
- Over 2.5: 54%
- Both teams to score: 53%
Model Ratings
Ipswich Town Elo 1580 · Liverpool Elo 1826
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-04. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has Liverpool clear favourites at 58% in this Matchweek 3 fixture at Portman Road — Ipswich Town 19%, the draw 23%, Liverpool 58%. A big Elo gap in Liverpool's favour (1826 vs 1580), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Ipswich Town vs Liverpool?
Liverpool are favoured at 58%. Ipswich Town 19% / Draw 23% / Liverpool 58%.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Liverpool?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Ipswich Town vs Liverpool have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Liverpool?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.