FootyTips 
Ipswich Town vs Liverpool 
Prediction
· Matchweek 3 · Portman Road
Match Status
Kickoff 19:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Liverpool to win at 59%. Overall probabilities: Ipswich Town 18%, draw 23%, Liverpool 59%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 59%
model top outcome · 59%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Ipswich Town 18% / Draw 23% / Liverpool 59%; expected goals 0.96-1.90; BTTS 53%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Ipswich Town win: 18%
- Draw: 23%
- Liverpool win: 59%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.96 - 1.90
- Over 2.5: 54%
- Both teams to score: 53%
Model Ratings
Ipswich Town Elo 1566 · Liverpool Elo 1829
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has Liverpool clear favourites at 59% in this Matchweek 3 fixture at Portman Road — Ipswich Town 18%, the draw 23%, Liverpool 59%. A big Elo gap in Liverpool's favour (1829 vs 1566), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Ipswich Town vs Liverpool?
Liverpool are favoured at 59%. Ipswich Town 18% / Draw 23% / Liverpool 59%.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Liverpool?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Ipswich Town vs Liverpool have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Liverpool?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.