Arsenal vs Everton Prediction

Oct 24, 02:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 8 · Emirates Stadium

Match Status

Arsenal 2-0 Everton · FT · Hit

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Arsenal to win at 68%. Overall probabilities: Arsenal 68%, draw 19%, Everton 13%; model score 2-0.

Model confidence: High · top outcome 68%

Arsenal 2-0 Everton result card — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Arsenal
model top outcome · 68%

2-0
model score forecast

58%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-10-24
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Crypto Sportsbook Odds

Featured sportsbook — Cloudbet

Arsenal 1.4 Draw 4.45 Everton 8.8

Bet at Cloudbet ↗

Full comparison below; tap any book to verify the live price. We show a periodic snapshot, and odds move.

Odds snapshot: Oct 18, 08:02 PM UTC.

Sportsbook	Arsenal	Draw	Everton
stake ↗	1.38	4.8	7.8
cloudbet ↗	1.4	4.45	8.8
duelbits ↗	1.4	4.8	7.7
★ Best	1.4 cloudbet	4.8 stake	8.8 cloudbet

Best price = highest decimal odds across the compared books (via OddsPapi). Bold = best in column. Tap a sportsbook to verify the live price on their site. Measured sportsbook data & methodology →

Citable facts: Arsenal 68% / Draw 19% / Everton 13%; expected goals 2.17-0.84; BTTS 51%; blended best estimate 68.0%/19.9%/12.0%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

Embed this prediction

Free for your site or blog — paste this HTML. The card refreshes automatically as our model updates.

<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/arsenal-vs-everton-2026-10-24-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/arsenal-vs-everton-2026-10-24.png" alt="Arsenal vs Everton prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI Premier League prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Post-Match Result

Hit: Final score Arsenal 2-0 Everton. Model pick: Arsenal. Actual result: Arsenal.

Brier contribution: 0.1598 · settled 2026-11-06

Win Probability

Arsenal win: 68%
Draw: 19%
Everton win: 13%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 2-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 2.17 - 0.84
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams to score: 51%

Model Ratings

Arsenal Elo 1997 · Everton Elo 1713

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-10-24. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model makes Arsenal clear favourites at 68% in this Matchweek 8 fixture at Emirates Stadium — Arsenal 68%, the draw 19%, Everton 13%. A big Elo gap in Arsenal's favour (1997 vs 1713), and the model score forecast is 2–0.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 51%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Arsenal vs Everton?

Arsenal are favoured at 68%. Arsenal 68% / Draw 19% / Everton 13%.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Everton?

Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

What do betting markets say about Arsenal vs Everton?

De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 68.3% Arsenal win, 20.4% draw, 11.3% Everton win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 68.0% / 19.9% / 12.0%. Market-probability snapshot: null.

Will Arsenal vs Everton have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Everton?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 51%.