FootyTips 
Arsenal vs Everton 
Prediction
· Matchweek 8 · Emirates Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 14:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Arsenal to win at 71%. Overall probabilities: Arsenal 71%, draw 18%, Everton 11%; model score 2-0.
Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 71%
model top outcome · 71%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Arsenal 71% / Draw 18% / Everton 11%; expected goals 2.28-0.80; BTTS 50%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Arsenal win: 71%
- Draw: 18%
- Everton win: 11%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 2-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 2.28 - 0.80
- Over 2.5: 59%
- Both teams to score: 50%
Model Ratings
Arsenal Elo 1979 · Everton Elo 1702
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model makes Arsenal clear favourites at 71% in this Matchweek 8 fixture at Emirates Stadium — Arsenal 71%, the draw 18%, Everton 11%. A big Elo gap in Arsenal's favour (1979 vs 1702), and the model score forecast is 2–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 50%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Arsenal vs Everton?
Arsenal are favoured at 71%. Arsenal 71% / Draw 18% / Everton 11%.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Everton?
Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Arsenal vs Everton have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Everton?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 50%.