FootyTips 
Hull City vs Everton 
Prediction
· Matchweek 6 · The MKM Stadium
Match Status
Hull City 2-2 Everton · FT · Miss
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Everton to win at 56%. Overall probabilities: Hull City 21%, draw 23%, Everton 56%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 56%
model top outcome · 56%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Hull City 21% / Draw 23% / Everton 56%; expected goals 1.01-1.80; BTTS 53%; blended best estimate 23.6%/26.3%/50.1%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Miss: Final score Hull City 2-2 Everton. Model pick: Everton. Actual result: Draw.
Brier contribution: 0.9382 · settled 2026-11-06
Win Probability
- Hull City win: 21%
- Draw: 23%
- Everton win: 56%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.01 - 1.80
- Over 2.5: 53%
- Both teams to score: 53%
Model Ratings
Hull City Elo 1501 · Everton Elo 1713
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-10-11. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has Everton clear favourites at 56% in this Matchweek 6 fixture at The MKM Stadium — Hull City 21%, the draw 23%, Everton 56%. A big Elo gap in Everton's favour (1713 vs 1501), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Hull City vs Everton?
Everton are favoured at 56%. Hull City 21% / Draw 23% / Everton 56%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Everton?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Hull City vs Everton?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 25.5% Hull City win, 28.1% draw, 46.3% Everton win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 23.6% / 26.3% / 50.1%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Hull City vs Everton have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Everton?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.