Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest Prediction

Nov 21, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 11 · Vitality Stadium

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Bournemouth to win at 49%. Overall probabilities: Bournemouth 49%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 26%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 49%

Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest prediction: 49% / 25% / 26% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Bournemouth
model top outcome · 49%

1-0
model score forecast

52%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-08-01
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Bournemouth 49% / Draw 25% / Nottingham Forest 26%; expected goals 1.61-1.13; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

Embed this prediction

Free for your site or blog — paste this HTML. The card refreshes automatically as our model updates.

<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/bournemouth-vs-nottingham-forest-2026-11-21-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/bournemouth-vs-nottingham-forest-2026-11-21.png" alt="Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI Premier League prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Win Probability

Bournemouth win: 49%
Draw: 25%
Nottingham Forest win: 26%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.61 - 1.13
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams to score: 54%

Model Ratings

Bournemouth Elo 1806 · Nottingham Forest Elo 1744

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model rates Bournemouth clear favourites at 49% in this Matchweek 11 fixture at Vitality Stadium — Bournemouth 49%, the draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 26%. A modest Elo edge to Bournemouth (1806 vs 1744), and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?

Bournemouth are favoured at 49%. Bournemouth 49% / Draw 25% / Nottingham Forest 26%.

What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.