Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest
Prediction
· Matchweek 8 · Portman Road
Match Status
Ipswich Town 1-1 Nottingham Forest · FT · Miss
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Nottingham Forest to win at 47%. Overall probabilities: Ipswich Town 28%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 47%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 47%
model top outcome · 47%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Crypto Sportsbook Odds
Full comparison below; tap any book to verify the live price. We show a periodic snapshot, and odds move.
Odds snapshot: Oct 18, 08:02 PM UTC.
| Sportsbook | Ipswich Town | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|---|
| stake ↗ | 3.1 | 3.5 | 2.21 |
| cloudbet ↗ | 3.1 | 3.5 | 2.25 |
| roobet | 3.05 | 3.45 | 2.24 |
| duelbits ↗ | 3.1 | 3.45 | 2.28 |
| ★ Best | 3.1 stake | 3.5 stake | 2.28 duelbits |
Best price = highest decimal odds across the compared books (via OddsPapi). Bold = best in column. Tap a sportsbook to verify the live price on their site. Measured sportsbook data & methodology →
Citable facts: Ipswich Town 28% / Draw 25% / Nottingham Forest 47%; expected goals 1.15-1.58; BTTS 55%; blended best estimate 29.4%/26.4%/44.2%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Miss: Final score Ipswich Town 1-1 Nottingham Forest. Model pick: Nottingham Forest. Actual result: Draw.
Brier contribution: 0.8532 · settled 2026-11-06
Win Probability
- Ipswich Town win: 28%
- Draw: 25%
- Nottingham Forest win: 47%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.15 - 1.58
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Ipswich Town Elo 1588 · Nottingham Forest Elo 1691
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-10-16. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model makes Nottingham Forest clear favourites at 47% in this Matchweek 8 fixture at Portman Road — Ipswich Town 28%, the draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 47%. A clear Elo edge to Nottingham Forest (1691 vs 1588), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest?
Nottingham Forest are favoured at 47%. Ipswich Town 28% / Draw 25% / Nottingham Forest 47%.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 30.7% Ipswich Town win, 27.0% draw, 42.3% Nottingham Forest win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 29.4% / 26.4% / 44.2%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.



