FootyTips 
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest 
Prediction
· Matchweek 6 · Selhurst Park
Match Status
Crystal Palace 3-1 Nottingham Forest · FT · Hit
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model sees this as a close match, with Crystal Palace narrowly favoured (37%). Overall probabilities: Crystal Palace 37%, draw 26%, Nottingham Forest 37%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: Low · top outcome 37%
model top outcome · 37%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Crystal Palace 37% / Draw 26% / Nottingham Forest 37%; expected goals 1.36-1.34; BTTS 55%; blended best estimate 35.3%/27.6%/37.1%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Hit: Final score Crystal Palace 3-1 Nottingham Forest. Model pick: Crystal Palace. Actual result: Crystal Palace.
Brier contribution: 0.5959 · settled 2026-11-06
Win Probability
- Crystal Palace win: 37%
- Draw: 26%
- Nottingham Forest win: 37%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.36 - 1.34
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Crystal Palace Elo 1648 · Nottingham Forest Elo 1691
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-10-11. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
The model installs this a tight, evenly-matched Matchweek 6 fixture at Selhurst Park: Crystal Palace 37%, the draw 26%, Nottingham Forest 37%. With a modest Elo edge to Nottingham Forest (1691 vs 1648), Crystal Palace are only narrow favourites, and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
Crystal Palace are favoured at 37%. Crystal Palace 37% / Draw 26% / Nottingham Forest 37%.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 34.1% Crystal Palace win, 28.4% draw, 37.5% Nottingham Forest win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 35.3% / 27.6% / 37.1%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.