World Cup 2026 Groups

12 groups, 48 teams. Teams ordered by our model's Elo strength rating.

Group A

#TeamModel Elo
1Mexico1840
2Czech Republic1800
3South Korea1790
4South Africa1730
Mexico vs South Africa · 63% / 21% / 16% · most likely 2–0 South Korea vs Czech Republic · 43% / 25% / 31% · most likely 1–1 Czech Republic vs South Africa · 57% / 23% / 21% · most likely 1–1 Mexico vs South Korea · 53% / 24% / 23% · most likely 1–1 South Africa vs South Korea · 36% / 26% / 39% · most likely 1–1 Czech Republic vs Mexico · 39% / 26% / 36% · most likely 1–1

Group B

#TeamModel Elo
1Switzerland1850
2Bosnia-Herzegovina1780
3Canada1760
4Qatar1690
Canada vs Bosnia-Herzegovina · 42% / 26% / 33% · most likely 1–1 Qatar vs Switzerland · 22% / 23% / 55% · most likely 1–1 Switzerland vs Bosnia-Herzegovina · 57% / 23% / 21% · most likely 1–1 Canada vs Qatar · 57% / 23% / 21% · most likely 1–1 Switzerland vs Canada · 60% / 22% / 18% · most likely 1–0 Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Qatar · 60% / 22% / 18% · most likely 1–0

Group C

#TeamModel Elo
1Brazil2020
2Morocco1890
3Scotland1800
4Haiti1620
Brazil vs Morocco · 66% / 20% / 14% · most likely 2–0 Haiti vs Scotland · 19% / 22% / 58% · most likely 0–1 Scotland vs Morocco · 31% / 25% / 43% · most likely 1–1 Brazil vs Haiti · 95% / 4% / 1% · most likely 4–0 Morocco vs Haiti · 85% / 10% / 5% · most likely 3–0 Scotland vs Brazil · 15% / 20% / 65% · most likely 0–2

Group D

#TeamModel Elo
1Turkey1840
2USA1820
3Paraguay1770
4Australia1740
USA vs Paraguay · 53% / 24% / 23% · most likely 1–1 Australia vs Turkey · 30% / 25% / 45% · most likely 1–1 USA vs Australia · 58% / 22% / 19% · most likely 1–0 Turkey vs Paraguay · 57% / 23% / 21% · most likely 1–1 Paraguay vs Australia · 50% / 24% / 26% · most likely 1–1 Turkey vs USA · 48% / 25% / 27% · most likely 1–1

Group E

#TeamModel Elo
1Germany1950
2Ecuador1800
3Ivory Coast1790
4Curaçao1650
Germany vs Curaçao · 88% / 9% / 4% · most likely 3–0 Ivory Coast vs Ecuador · 43% / 25% / 31% · most likely 1–1 Germany vs Ivory Coast · 71% / 18% / 12% · most likely 2–0 Ecuador vs Curaçao · 69% / 18% / 12% · most likely 2–0 Curaçao vs Ivory Coast · 24% / 24% / 52% · most likely 1–1 Ecuador vs Germany · 23% / 24% / 53% · most likely 1–1

Group F

#TeamModel Elo
1Netherlands1980
2Japan1850
3Sweden1790
4Tunisia1730
Netherlands vs Japan · 66% / 20% / 14% · most likely 2–0 Sweden vs Tunisia · 55% / 23% / 22% · most likely 1–1 Netherlands vs Sweden · 75% / 16% / 9% · most likely 2–0 Tunisia vs Japan · 27% / 25% / 48% · most likely 1–1 Tunisia vs Netherlands · 12% / 18% / 69% · most likely 0–2 Japan vs Sweden · 55% / 23% / 22% · most likely 1–1

Group G

#TeamModel Elo
1Belgium1940
2Egypt1800
3Iran1790
4New Zealand1660
Belgium vs Egypt · 68% / 19% / 13% · most likely 2–0 Iran vs New Zealand · 66% / 20% / 14% · most likely 2–0 Belgium vs Iran · 69% / 18% / 12% · most likely 2–0 New Zealand vs Egypt · 24% / 24% / 52% · most likely 1–1 Egypt vs Iran · 47% / 25% / 28% · most likely 1–1 New Zealand vs Belgium · 10% / 16% / 74% · most likely 0–2

Group H

#TeamModel Elo
1Spain2050
2Uruguay1880
3Cape Verde1700
4Saudi Arabia1690
Spain vs Cape Verde · 92% / 6% / 2% · most likely 3–0 Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay · 18% / 22% / 60% · most likely 0–1 Spain vs Saudi Arabia · 92% / 6% / 2% · most likely 3–0 Uruguay vs Cape Verde · 74% / 16% / 10% · most likely 2–0 Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia · 47% / 25% / 28% · most likely 1–1 Uruguay vs Spain · 21% / 23% / 57% · most likely 1–1

Group I

#TeamModel Elo
1France2060
2Norway1830
3Senegal1820
4Iraq1680
France vs Senegal · 81% / 12% / 6% · most likely 2–0 Iraq vs Norway · 23% / 24% / 53% · most likely 1–1 France vs Iraq · 94% / 5% / 2% · most likely 3–0 Norway vs Senegal · 47% / 25% / 28% · most likely 1–1 Norway vs France · 14% / 20% / 66% · most likely 0–2 Senegal vs Iraq · 68% / 19% / 13% · most likely 2–0

Group J

#TeamModel Elo
1Argentina2090
2Austria1820
3Algeria1800
4Jordan1660
Argentina vs Algeria · 87% / 9% / 4% · most likely 3–0 Austria vs Jordan · 71% / 18% / 12% · most likely 2–0 Argentina vs Austria · 85% / 10% / 5% · most likely 3–0 Jordan vs Algeria · 24% / 24% / 52% · most likely 1–1 Algeria vs Austria · 42% / 26% / 33% · most likely 1–1 Jordan vs Argentina · 3% / 7% / 90% · most likely 0–3

Group K

#TeamModel Elo
1Portugal1990
2Colombia1900
3DR Congo1760
4Uzbekistan1710
Portugal vs DR Congo · 80% / 13% / 7% · most likely 2–0 Uzbekistan vs Colombia · 18% / 22% / 60% · most likely 0–1 Portugal vs Uzbekistan · 86% / 10% / 4% · most likely 3–0 Colombia vs DR Congo · 68% / 19% / 13% · most likely 2–0 Colombia vs Portugal · 31% / 25% / 43% · most likely 1–1 DR Congo vs Uzbekistan · 53% / 24% / 23% · most likely 1–1

Group L

#TeamModel Elo
1England2010
2Croatia1900
3Ghana1740
4Panama1710
England vs Croatia · 63% / 21% / 16% · most likely 2–0 Ghana vs Panama · 50% / 24% / 26% · most likely 1–1 England vs Ghana · 85% / 10% / 5% · most likely 3–0 Panama vs Croatia · 18% / 22% / 60% · most likely 0–1 Croatia vs Ghana · 71% / 18% / 12% · most likely 2–0 Panama vs England · 9% / 15% / 76% · most likely 0–2