World Cup 2026 Groups

12 groups, 48 teams. Teams ordered by our model's Elo strength rating.

Group A

#	Team	Model Elo
1	Mexico	1963
2	South Korea	1843
3	Czech Republic	1726
4	South Africa	1712

Mexico vs South Africa · 90% / 7% / 2% · model score 3–0 South Korea vs Czech Republic · 47% / 27% / 25% · model score 1–1 Czech Republic vs South Africa · 58% / 24% / 17% · model score 1–0 Mexico vs South Korea · 64% / 22% / 14% · model score 1–0 South Africa vs South Korea · 11% / 19% / 70% · model score 0–2 Czech Republic vs Mexico · 5% / 13% / 82% · model score 0–2

Group B

#	Team	Model Elo
1	Switzerland	2048
2	Canada	1849
3	Bosnia-Herzegovina	1742
4	Qatar	1581

Canada vs Bosnia-Herzegovina · 85% / 11% / 4% · model score 2–0 Qatar vs Switzerland · 3% / 10% / 87% · model score 0–2 Switzerland vs Bosnia-Herzegovina · 79% / 15% / 6% · model score 2–0 Canada vs Qatar · 91% / 7% / 2% · model score 3–0 Switzerland vs Canada · 29% / 28% / 43% · model score 1–1 Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Qatar · 46% / 28% / 26% · model score 1–1

Group C

#	Team	Model Elo
1	Brazil	2087
2	Morocco	2023
3	Scotland	1789
4	Haiti	1723

Brazil vs Morocco · 48% / 27% / 25% · model score 1–1 Haiti vs Scotland · 19% / 25% / 55% · model score 0–1 Scotland vs Morocco · 19% / 25% / 55% · model score 0–1 Brazil vs Haiti · 84% / 12% / 4% · model score 2–0 Morocco vs Haiti · 81% / 13% / 5% · model score 2–0 Scotland vs Brazil · 11% / 20% / 68% · model score 0–2

Group D

#	Team	Model Elo
1	Paraguay	1922
2	Australia	1894
3	USA	1883
4	Turkey	1828

USA vs Paraguay · 37% / 29% / 34% · model score 1–1 Australia vs Turkey · 27% / 28% / 46% · model score 1–1 USA vs Australia · 39% / 29% / 32% · model score 1–1 Turkey vs Paraguay · 43% / 28% / 29% · model score 1–1 Paraguay vs Australia · 34% / 29% / 37% · model score 1–1 Turkey vs USA · 19% / 25% / 56% · model score 0–1

Group E

#	Team	Model Elo
1	Germany	1970
2	Ecuador	1940
3	Ivory Coast	1833
4	Curaçao	1659

Germany vs Curaçao · 88% / 9% / 3% · model score 3–0 Ivory Coast vs Ecuador · 12% / 21% / 67% · model score 0–2 Germany vs Ivory Coast · 64% / 22% / 14% · model score 1–0 Ecuador vs Curaçao · 89% / 8% / 2% · model score 3–0 Curaçao vs Ivory Coast · 12% / 21% / 68% · model score 0–2 Ecuador vs Germany · 26% / 28% / 47% · model score 1–1

Group F

#	Team	Model Elo
1	Netherlands	2047
2	Japan	1976
3	Sweden	1845
4	Tunisia	1660

Netherlands vs Japan · 37% / 29% / 34% · model score 1–1 Sweden vs Tunisia · 36% / 29% / 36% · model score 1–1 Netherlands vs Sweden · 71% / 19% / 10% · model score 2–0 Tunisia vs Japan · 11% / 20% / 69% · model score 0–2 Tunisia vs Netherlands · 5% / 12% / 83% · model score 0–2 Japan vs Sweden · 68% / 20% / 12% · model score 2–0

Group G

#	Team	Model Elo
1	Belgium	2030
2	Iran	1859
3	Egypt	1818
4	New Zealand	1687

Belgium vs Egypt · 60% / 24% / 16% · model score 1–0 Iran vs New Zealand · 61% / 23% / 15% · model score 1–0 Belgium vs Iran · 44% / 28% / 28% · model score 1–1 New Zealand vs Egypt · 26% / 28% / 46% · model score 1–1 Egypt vs Iran · 29% / 28% / 42% · model score 1–1 New Zealand vs Belgium · 10% / 19% / 71% · model score 0–2

Group H

#	Team	Model Elo
1	Spain	2356
2	Uruguay	1943
3	Saudi Arabia	1738
4	Cape Verde	1659

Spain vs Cape Verde · 97% / 2% / 0% · model score 4–0 Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay · 8% / 16% / 76% · model score 0–2 Spain vs Saudi Arabia · 96% / 3% / 1% · model score 4–0 Uruguay vs Cape Verde · 80% / 14% / 6% · model score 2–0 Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia · 35% / 29% / 36% · model score 1–1 Uruguay vs Spain · 9% / 18% / 73% · model score 0–2

Group I

#	Team	Model Elo
1	France	2180
2	Norway	1965
3	Senegal	1869
4	Iraq	1661

France vs Senegal · 68% / 20% / 11% · model score 2–0 Iraq vs Norway · 10% / 19% / 71% · model score 0–2 France vs Iraq · 88% / 9% / 3% · model score 3–0 Norway vs Senegal · 46% / 28% / 26% · model score 1–1 Norway vs France · 19% / 25% / 56% · model score 0–1 Senegal vs Iraq · 59% / 24% / 17% · model score 1–0

Group J

#	Team	Model Elo
1	Argentina	2247
2	Austria	1907
3	Algeria	1851
4	Jordan	1710

Argentina vs Algeria · 79% / 15% / 6% · model score 2–0 Austria vs Jordan · 53% / 26% / 21% · model score 1–0 Argentina vs Austria · 78% / 15% / 7% · model score 2–0 Jordan vs Algeria · 22% / 27% / 51% · model score 1–1 Algeria vs Austria · 34% / 29% / 37% · model score 1–1 Jordan vs Argentina · 1% / 4% / 94% · model score 0–3

Group K

#	Team	Model Elo
1	Portugal	2130
2	Colombia	2070
3	DR Congo	1780
4	Uzbekistan	1746

Portugal vs DR Congo · 78% / 15% / 7% · model score 2–0 Uzbekistan vs Colombia · 10% / 19% / 71% · model score 0–2 Portugal vs Uzbekistan · 70% / 20% / 11% · model score 2–0 Colombia vs DR Congo · 79% / 15% / 6% · model score 2–0 Colombia vs Portugal · 40% / 29% / 32% · model score 1–1 DR Congo vs Uzbekistan · 34% / 29% / 37% · model score 1–1

Group L

#	Team	Model Elo
1	England	2221
2	Croatia	1922
3	Panama	1770
4	Ghana	1655

England vs Croatia · 52% / 26% / 21% · model score 1–0 Ghana vs Panama · 13% / 21% / 66% · model score 0–2 England vs Ghana · 91% / 7% / 2% · model score 3–0 Panama vs Croatia · 21% / 26% / 53% · model score 0–1 Croatia vs Ghana · 71% / 19% / 10% · model score 2–0 Panama vs England · 6% / 15% / 79% · model score 0–2