FootyTipsWorld Cup 2026 Value Picks
Market edge compares our model probability with the market's de-vigged implied probability. Positive edge is a potential value signal, not a betting instruction.
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Citable definition: market edge = FootyTips model probability minus de-vigged market implied probability from decimal odds. Value signals only appear when real odds snapshots are imported; no odds means no market edge is shown.
Best Value Picks
Where our model rates a result more likely than the market implies. For each pick we surface the single best price across 7 crypto sportsbooks. Potential value signals — not staking instructions; odds move and probabilities are not guarantees.
| Match | Pick | Model | Market | Edge | Best odds | Value* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA vs Australia Fri, 19 Jun 2026 19:00 GMT | Draw | 28.6% | 21.9% | +6.7pp | 4.395 1xbet ↗ | +26% |
| Turkey vs Paraguay Sat, 20 Jun 2026 03:00 GMT | Paraguay win | 29.1% | 24.6% | +4.4pp | 4.005 1xbet ↗ | +16% |
| Netherlands vs Sweden Sat, 20 Jun 2026 17:00 GMT | Netherlands win | 62.6% | 55.0% | +7.6pp | 1.795 1xbet ↗ | +12% |
| Spain vs Saudi Arabia Sun, 21 Jun 2026 16:00 GMT | Spain win | 93.4% | 88.1% | +5.4pp | 1.113 1xbet ↗ | +4% |
| Belgium vs Iran Sun, 21 Jun 2026 19:00 GMT | Draw | 28.0% | 20.7% | +7.2pp | 4.72 1xbet ↗ | +32% |
| Uruguay vs Cape Verde Sun, 21 Jun 2026 22:00 GMT | Uruguay win | 74.6% | 65.3% | +9.4pp | 1.53 1xbet ↗ | +14% |
| New Zealand vs Egypt Mon, 22 Jun 2026 01:00 GMT | New Zealand win | 26.6% | 16.7% | +9.8pp | 5.79 1xbet ↗ | +54% |
| New Zealand vs Egypt Mon, 22 Jun 2026 01:00 GMT | Draw | 27.8% | 23.4% | +4.4pp | 4.205 1xbet ↗ | +17% |
| Norway vs Senegal Tue, 23 Jun 2026 00:00 GMT | Norway win | 52.0% | 41.3% | +10.7pp | 2.413 1xbet ↗ | +25% |
| Jordan vs Algeria Tue, 23 Jun 2026 03:00 GMT | Jordan win | 19.6% | 15.4% | +4.2pp | 6.36 1xbet ↗ | +25% |
| Portugal vs Uzbekistan Tue, 23 Jun 2026 17:00 GMT | Draw | 19.6% | 13.6% | +6.0pp | 7.29 1xbet ↗ | +43% |
| Portugal vs Uzbekistan Tue, 23 Jun 2026 17:00 GMT | Uzbekistan win | 10.7% | 5.5% | +5.1pp | 19 1xbet ↗ | +103% |
| England vs Ghana Tue, 23 Jun 2026 20:00 GMT | England win | 90.5% | 79.3% | +11.1pp | 1.253 1xbet ↗ | +13% |
| Panama vs Croatia Tue, 23 Jun 2026 23:00 GMT | Panama win | 19.2% | 13.4% | +5.8pp | 7.49 1xbet ↗ | +44% |
| Ecuador vs Germany Thu, 25 Jun 2026 20:00 GMT | Ecuador win | 30.9% | 19.4% | +11.5pp | 5.1 duelbits ↗ | +58% |
| Curaçao vs Ivory Coast Thu, 25 Jun 2026 20:00 GMT | Draw | 17.9% | 10.4% | +7.5pp | 8.6 roobet ↗ | +54% |
| Ecuador vs Germany Thu, 25 Jun 2026 20:00 GMT | Draw | 28.5% | 23.4% | +5.1pp | 3.8 roobet ↗ | +8% |
| Curaçao vs Ivory Coast Thu, 25 Jun 2026 20:00 GMT | Curaçao win | 9.0% | 4.5% | +4.5pp | 20 duelbits ↗ | +80% |
| Senegal vs Iraq Fri, 26 Jun 2026 19:00 GMT | Iraq win | 15.6% | 8.5% | +7.1pp | 10.5 duelbits ↗ | +64% |
| Senegal vs Iraq Fri, 26 Jun 2026 19:00 GMT | Draw | 23.4% | 17.4% | +6.0pp | 5.3 duelbits ↗ | +24% |
*Value = model probability × best odds − 1 (expected edge if the model probability holds; not a guarantee). Best price = highest decimal odds across stake, 1xbet, bcgame, cloudbet, roobet, vave, duelbits (via OddsPapi). Snapshot: 2026-06-19T03:45:24.949Z.
How To Read This Page
Decimal odds are converted into raw implied probability with 1 / odds. For each 1X2 market, the three implied probabilities are then normalized so the market totals 100%. Edge is calculated as model probability - market probability.
Read each row as a potential value signal. It is not a guarantee, a recommendation to stake money, or a substitute for your own risk assessment.
FAQ
What is a market edge?
A market edge compares FootyTips model probability with the de-vigged market implied probability from decimal odds. A positive edge means the model is higher than the market, not that the result is guaranteed.
Are these betting tips?
No. This page is a probability comparison tool. Odds can move, markets include margin, and football outcomes remain uncertain.
Why might no value picks appear?
If no licensed odds feed or private odds snapshot is connected, the page will not invent market edges. It only shows signals when real odds data is available.