Hull City vs Arsenal Prediction

Jan 16, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 21 · The MKM Stadium

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Arsenal to win at 84%. Overall probabilities: Hull City 5%, draw 11%, Arsenal 84%; model score 0-2.

Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 84%

Hull City vs Arsenal prediction: 5% / 11% / 84% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Arsenal
model top outcome · 84%

0-2
model score forecast

70%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-08-01
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Hull City 5% / Draw 11% / Arsenal 84%; expected goals 0.61-2.99; BTTS 43%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

Embed this prediction

Free for your site or blog — paste this HTML. The card refreshes automatically as our model updates.

<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/hull-city-vs-arsenal-2027-01-16-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/hull-city-vs-arsenal-2027-01-16.png" alt="Hull City vs Arsenal prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI Premier League prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Win Probability

Hull City win: 5%
Draw: 11%
Arsenal win: 84%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-2
Expected goals (model lambda): 0.61 - 2.99
Over 2.5: 70%
Both teams to score: 43%

Model Ratings

Hull City Elo 1433 · Arsenal Elo 1979

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model makes Arsenal clear favourites at 84% in this Matchweek 21 fixture at The MKM Stadium — Hull City 5%, the draw 11%, Arsenal 84%. A big Elo gap in Arsenal's favour (1979 vs 1433), and the model score forecast is 0–2.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams to score at 43%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Hull City vs Arsenal?

Arsenal are favoured at 84%. Hull City 5% / Draw 11% / Arsenal 84%.

What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Arsenal?

Our model score forecast is 0-2, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Hull City vs Arsenal have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hull City vs Arsenal?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 43%.