Arsenal vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Mar 3, 08:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 28 · Emirates Stadium

Match Status

Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Arsenal to win at 77%. Overall probabilities: Arsenal 77%, draw 15%, Crystal Palace 8%; model score 2-0.

Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 77%

Arsenal vs Crystal Palace prediction: 77% / 15% / 8% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Arsenal
model top outcome · 77%

2-0
model score forecast

63%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-11-06
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Arsenal 77% / Draw 15% / Crystal Palace 8%; expected goals 2.56-0.71; BTTS 47%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

Embed this prediction

Free for your site or blog — paste this HTML. The card refreshes automatically as our model updates.

<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/arsenal-vs-crystal-palace-2027-03-03-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/arsenal-vs-crystal-palace-2027-03-03.png" alt="Arsenal vs Crystal Palace prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI Premier League prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Win Probability

Arsenal win: 77%
Draw: 15%
Crystal Palace win: 8%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 2-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 2.56 - 0.71
Over 2.5: 63%
Both teams to score: 47%

Model Ratings

Arsenal Elo 1997 · Crystal Palace Elo 1648

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-11-06. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model makes Arsenal clear favourites at 77% in this Matchweek 28 fixture at Emirates Stadium — Arsenal 77%, the draw 15%, Crystal Palace 8%. A big Elo gap in Arsenal's favour (1997 vs 1648), and the model score forecast is 2–0.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 47%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Arsenal vs Crystal Palace?

Arsenal are favoured at 77%. Arsenal 77% / Draw 15% / Crystal Palace 8%.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Crystal Palace?

Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Arsenal vs Crystal Palace have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Crystal Palace?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 47%.