FootyTips 
Manchester City vs Hull City 
Prediction
· Matchweek 16 · Etihad Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Manchester City to win at 87%. Overall probabilities: Manchester City 87%, draw 9%, Hull City 4%; model score 3-0.
Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 87%
model top outcome · 87%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Manchester City 87% / Draw 9% / Hull City 4%; expected goals 3.15-0.58; BTTS 42%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Manchester City win: 87%
- Draw: 9%
- Hull City win: 4%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 3-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 3.15 - 0.58
- Over 2.5: 72%
- Both teams to score: 42%
Model Ratings
Manchester City Elo 1978 · Hull City Elo 1499
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
The model installs Manchester City clear favourites at 87% in this Matchweek 16 fixture at Etihad Stadium — Manchester City 87%, the draw 9%, Hull City 4%. A big Elo gap in Manchester City's favour (1978 vs 1499), and the model score forecast is 3–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams to score at 42%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Manchester City vs Hull City?
Manchester City are favoured at 87%. Manchester City 87% / Draw 9% / Hull City 4%.
What is the predicted score for Manchester City vs Hull City?
Our model score forecast is 3-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Manchester City vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Hull City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 42%.