FootyTips 
Manchester City vs Hull City 
Prediction
· Matchweek 16 · Etihad Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Manchester City to win at 86%. Overall probabilities: Manchester City 86%, draw 10%, Hull City 4%; model score 3-0.
Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 86%
model top outcome · 86%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Manchester City 86% / Draw 10% / Hull City 4%; expected goals 3.07-0.59; BTTS 43%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Manchester City win: 86%
- Draw: 10%
- Hull City win: 4%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 3-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 3.07 - 0.59
- Over 2.5: 71%
- Both teams to score: 43%
Model Ratings
Manchester City Elo 1965 · Hull City Elo 1501
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-11-06. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
The model installs Manchester City clear favourites at 86% in this Matchweek 16 fixture at Etihad Stadium — Manchester City 86%, the draw 10%, Hull City 4%. A big Elo gap in Manchester City's favour (1965 vs 1501), and the model score forecast is 3–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams to score at 43%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Manchester City vs Hull City?
Manchester City are favoured at 86%. Manchester City 86% / Draw 10% / Hull City 4%.
What is the predicted score for Manchester City vs Hull City?
Our model score forecast is 3-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Manchester City vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Hull City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 43%.