FootyTips 
Manchester City vs Hull City 
Prediction
· Matchweek 16 · Etihad Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Manchester City to win at 89%. Overall probabilities: Manchester City 89%, draw 8%, Hull City 3%; model score 3-0.
Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 89%
model top outcome · 89%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Manchester City 89% / Draw 8% / Hull City 3%; expected goals 3.34-0.54; BTTS 41%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Manchester City win: 89%
- Draw: 8%
- Hull City win: 3%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 3-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 3.34 - 0.54
- Over 2.5: 74%
- Both teams to score: 41%
Model Ratings
Manchester City Elo 1950 · Hull City Elo 1433
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
The model installs Manchester City clear favourites at 89% in this Matchweek 16 fixture at Etihad Stadium — Manchester City 89%, the draw 8%, Hull City 3%. A big Elo gap in Manchester City's favour (1950 vs 1433), and the model score forecast is 3–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams to score at 41%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Manchester City vs Hull City?
Manchester City are favoured at 89%. Manchester City 89% / Draw 8% / Hull City 3%.
What is the predicted score for Manchester City vs Hull City?
Our model score forecast is 3-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Manchester City vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Hull City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 41%.