Arsenal vs Ipswich Town
Prediction
· Matchweek 19 · Emirates Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Arsenal to win at 82%. Overall probabilities: Arsenal 82%, draw 12%, Ipswich Town 6%; model score 2-0.
Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 82%
model top outcome · 82%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Citable facts: Arsenal 82% / Draw 12% / Ipswich Town 6%; expected goals 2.83-0.64; BTTS 45%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Arsenal win: 82%
- Draw: 12%
- Ipswich Town win: 6%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 2-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 2.83 - 0.64
- Over 2.5: 67%
- Both teams to score: 45%
Model Ratings
Arsenal Elo 1979 · Ipswich Town Elo 1566
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
The model installs Arsenal clear favourites at 82% in this Matchweek 19 fixture at Emirates Stadium — Arsenal 82%, the draw 12%, Ipswich Town 6%. A big Elo gap in Arsenal's favour (1979 vs 1566), and the model score forecast is 2–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 45%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Arsenal vs Ipswich Town?
Arsenal are favoured at 82%. Arsenal 82% / Draw 12% / Ipswich Town 6%.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Ipswich Town?
Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Arsenal vs Ipswich Town have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Ipswich Town?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 45%.



