Arsenal vs Ipswich Town Prediction

Jan 2, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 19 · Emirates Stadium

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Arsenal to win at 83%. Overall probabilities: Arsenal 83%, draw 12%, Ipswich Town 5%; model score 2-0.

Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 83%

Arsenal vs Ipswich Town prediction: 83% / 12% / 5% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Arsenal
model top outcome · 83%

2-0
model score forecast

68%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-09-20
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Arsenal 83% / Draw 12% / Ipswich Town 5%; expected goals 2.86-0.64; BTTS 44%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Arsenal win: 83%
Draw: 12%
Ipswich Town win: 5%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 2-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 2.86 - 0.64
Over 2.5: 68%
Both teams to score: 44%

Model Ratings

Arsenal Elo 2000 · Ipswich Town Elo 1580

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

The model installs Arsenal clear favourites at 83% in this Matchweek 19 fixture at Emirates Stadium — Arsenal 83%, the draw 12%, Ipswich Town 5%. A big Elo gap in Arsenal's favour (2000 vs 1580), and the model score forecast is 2–0.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 44%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Arsenal vs Ipswich Town?

Arsenal are favoured at 83%. Arsenal 83% / Draw 12% / Ipswich Town 5%.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Ipswich Town?

Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Arsenal vs Ipswich Town have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Ipswich Town?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 44%.