Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal Prediction

Dec 6, 04:30 PM UTC · Matchweek 14 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Match Status

Kickoff 16:30 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Arsenal to win at 65%. Overall probabilities: Tottenham Hotspur 15%, draw 20%, Arsenal 65%; model score 0-2.

Model confidence: High · top outcome 65%

Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal prediction: 15% / 20% / 65% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Arsenal
model top outcome · 65%

0-2
model score forecast

57%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-11-06
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Tottenham Hotspur 15% / Draw 20% / Arsenal 65%; expected goals 0.87-2.09; BTTS 51%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/tottenham-hotspur-vs-arsenal-2026-12-06-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/tottenham-hotspur-vs-arsenal-2026-12-06.png" alt="Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI Premier League prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Win Probability

Tottenham Hotspur win: 15%
Draw: 20%
Arsenal win: 65%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-2
Expected goals (model lambda): 0.87 - 2.09
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams to score: 51%

Model Ratings

Tottenham Hotspur Elo 1673 · Arsenal Elo 1997

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-11-06. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

The model installs Arsenal clear favourites at 65% in this Matchweek 14 fixture at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium — Tottenham Hotspur 15%, the draw 20%, Arsenal 65%. A big Elo gap in Arsenal's favour (1997 vs 1673), and the model score forecast is 0–2.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 51%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal?

Arsenal are favoured at 65%. Tottenham Hotspur 15% / Draw 20% / Arsenal 65%.

What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal?

Our model score forecast is 0-2, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 51%.