Mexico — World Cup 2026

Group A · Model Elo 1969 · Founded 1923 · Estadio Azteca

Mexico are in Group A. Our model rates their title chance at 0.9% (Elo strength 1969, reaching the knockout stage 96% of the time). Below are AI predictions for all 3 group-stage fixtures.

About Mexico

Mexico are one of the 48 teams at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, drawn in Group A. The national side was founded in 1923. They play home matches at the Estadio Azteca in Mexico City, Mexico, which seats 87,523.

Founded: 1923
Home stadium: Estadio Azteca (capacity 87,523)
Based in: Mexico City, Mexico
Official site: fmf.mx

Record

Mexico have played 1,002 internationals since 1923, winning 513 for a 51.2% win rate (513W 231D 258L, 1,762 goals for / 1,053 against). At the FIFA World Cup their record is 17W 15D 28L from 60 matches.

Recent form

W vs Australia 1–0 · 2026-05-30
W vs Ghana 2–0 · 2026-05-22
D vs Belgium 1–1 · 2026-03-31
D vs Portugal 0–0 · 2026-03-28
W vs Iceland 4–0 · 2026-02-25
W vs Bolivia 1–0 · 2026-01-25

Historical results from the martj42 dataset (CC0).

Group A Fixtures & Predictions

Mexico vs South Africa · Jun 11 · most likely 3–0

Mexico 90% Draw 7% South Africa 3%

Mexico vs South Korea · Jun 19 · most likely 2–0

Mexico 64% Draw 20% South Korea 16%

Czech Republic vs Mexico · Jun 25 · most likely 0–2

Czech Republic 9% Draw 15% Mexico 76%

FAQ

Which group is Mexico in at the 2026 World Cup?

Mexico are in Group A.

What are Mexico's chances of winning the 2026 World Cup?

Our model gives Mexico a 0.9% chance of winning the tournament, from an Elo strength rating of 1969.

When was the Mexico national football team founded?

1923.

Where do Mexico play their home matches?

At the Estadio Azteca in Mexico City, Mexico (capacity 87,523).

What is Mexico's all-time record?

Mexico have played 1002 internationals, winning 513 (51.2%). At the World Cup they have 17 wins, 15 draws and 28 defeats from 60 matches.

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