Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest Prediction

Mar 13, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 29 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model sees this as a close match, with Tottenham Hotspur narrowly favoured (40%). Overall probabilities: Tottenham Hotspur 40%, draw 26%, Nottingham Forest 34%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: Low · top outcome 40%

Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest prediction: 40% / 26% / 34% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Tottenham Hotspur
model top outcome · 40%

1-0
model score forecast

51%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-11-06
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Tottenham Hotspur 40% / Draw 26% / Nottingham Forest 34%; expected goals 1.42-1.28; BTTS 55%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Tottenham Hotspur win: 40%
Draw: 26%
Nottingham Forest win: 34%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.42 - 1.28
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams to score: 55%

Model Ratings

Tottenham Hotspur Elo 1673 · Nottingham Forest Elo 1691

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-11-06. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model has this a tight, evenly-matched Matchweek 29 fixture at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium: Tottenham Hotspur 40%, the draw 26%, Nottingham Forest 34%. With near-level Elo ratings (Tottenham Hotspur 1673, Nottingham Forest 1691), Tottenham Hotspur are only narrow favourites, and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest?

Tottenham Hotspur are favoured at 40%. Tottenham Hotspur 40% / Draw 26% / Nottingham Forest 34%.

What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.