Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United Prediction

May 23, 02:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 37 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Match Status

Kickoff 14:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Manchester United to win at 53%. Overall probabilities: Tottenham Hotspur 23%, draw 24%, Manchester United 53%; model score 0-1.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 53%

Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United prediction: 23% / 24% / 53% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Manchester United
model top outcome · 53%

0-1
model score forecast

53%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-08-01
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Tottenham Hotspur 23% / Draw 24% / Manchester United 53%; expected goals 1.05-1.73; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Tottenham Hotspur win: 23%
Draw: 24%
Manchester United win: 53%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-1
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.05 - 1.73
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams to score: 54%

Model Ratings

Tottenham Hotspur Elo 1642 · Manchester United Elo 1847

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model makes Manchester United clear favourites at 53% in this Matchweek 37 fixture at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium — Tottenham Hotspur 23%, the draw 24%, Manchester United 53%. A big Elo gap in Manchester United's favour (1847 vs 1642), and the model score forecast is 0–1.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United?

Manchester United are favoured at 53%. Tottenham Hotspur 23% / Draw 24% / Manchester United 53%.

What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United?

Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.