Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United Prediction

May 23, 02:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 37 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Match Status

Kickoff 14:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Manchester United to win at 51%. Overall probabilities: Tottenham Hotspur 24%, draw 25%, Manchester United 51%; model score 0-1.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 51%

Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United prediction: 24% / 25% / 51% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Manchester United
model top outcome · 51%

0-1
model score forecast

52%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-09-20
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Tottenham Hotspur 24% / Draw 25% / Manchester United 51%; expected goals 1.08-1.69; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Tottenham Hotspur win: 24%
Draw: 25%
Manchester United win: 51%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-1
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.08 - 1.69
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams to score: 54%

Model Ratings

Tottenham Hotspur Elo 1621 · Manchester United Elo 1811

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model makes Manchester United clear favourites at 51% in this Matchweek 37 fixture at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium — Tottenham Hotspur 24%, the draw 25%, Manchester United 51%. A clear Elo edge to Manchester United (1811 vs 1621), and the model score forecast is 0–1.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United?

Manchester United are favoured at 51%. Tottenham Hotspur 24% / Draw 25% / Manchester United 51%.

What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United?

Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.