FootyTips 
Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford 
Prediction
· Matchweek 31 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 14:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model sees this as a close match, with Brentford narrowly favoured (43%). Overall probabilities: Tottenham Hotspur 31%, draw 26%, Brentford 43%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: Low · top outcome 43%
model top outcome · 43%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Tottenham Hotspur 31% / Draw 26% / Brentford 43%; expected goals 1.23-1.48; BTTS 55%; blended best estimate 32.4%/25.5%/42.1%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Tottenham Hotspur win: 31%
- Draw: 26%
- Brentford win: 43%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.23 - 1.48
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Tottenham Hotspur Elo 1642 · Brentford Elo 1748
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has this a tight, evenly-matched Matchweek 31 fixture at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium: Tottenham Hotspur 31%, the draw 26%, Brentford 43%. With a clear Elo edge to Brentford (1748 vs 1642), Brentford are only narrow favourites, and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford?
Brentford are favoured at 43%. Tottenham Hotspur 31% / Draw 26% / Brentford 43%.
What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from cloudbet, duelbits imply 33.1% Tottenham Hotspur win, 25.1% draw, 41.8% Brentford win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 32.4% / 25.5% / 42.1%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.