FootyTips 
Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford 
Prediction
· Matchweek 31 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 14:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Brentford to win at 46%. Overall probabilities: Tottenham Hotspur 28%, draw 26%, Brentford 46%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 46%
model top outcome · 46%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Tottenham Hotspur 28% / Draw 26% / Brentford 46%; expected goals 1.17-1.55; BTTS 55%; blended best estimate 31.2%/25.4%/43.4%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Tottenham Hotspur win: 28%
- Draw: 26%
- Brentford win: 46%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.17 - 1.55
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Tottenham Hotspur Elo 1621 · Brentford Elo 1759
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has Brentford clear favourites at 46% in this Matchweek 31 fixture at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium — Tottenham Hotspur 28%, the draw 26%, Brentford 46%. A clear Elo edge to Brentford (1759 vs 1621), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford?
Brentford are favoured at 46%. Tottenham Hotspur 28% / Draw 26% / Brentford 46%.
What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from cloudbet, duelbits imply 33.1% Tottenham Hotspur win, 25.1% draw, 41.8% Brentford win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 31.2% / 25.4% / 43.4%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.