Tottenham Hotspur vs Bournemouth
Prediction
· Matchweek 17 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Bournemouth to win at 49%. Overall probabilities: Tottenham Hotspur 26%, draw 25%, Bournemouth 49%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 49%
model top outcome · 49%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Citable facts: Tottenham Hotspur 26% / Draw 25% / Bournemouth 49%; expected goals 1.12-1.62; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Tottenham Hotspur win: 26%
- Draw: 25%
- Bournemouth win: 49%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.12 - 1.62
- Over 2.5: 52%
- Both teams to score: 54%
Model Ratings
Tottenham Hotspur Elo 1642 · Bournemouth Elo 1806
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model makes Bournemouth clear favourites at 49% in this Matchweek 17 fixture at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium — Tottenham Hotspur 26%, the draw 25%, Bournemouth 49%. A clear Elo edge to Bournemouth (1806 vs 1642), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Bournemouth?
Bournemouth are favoured at 49%. Tottenham Hotspur 26% / Draw 25% / Bournemouth 49%.
What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Bournemouth?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Tottenham Hotspur vs Bournemouth have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Bournemouth?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.



