Tottenham Hotspur crest Tottenham Hotspur vs Bournemouth Bournemouth crest Prediction

· Matchweek 17 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated:

The model favours Bournemouth to win at 49%. Overall probabilities: Tottenham Hotspur 26%, draw 25%, Bournemouth 49%; model score 0-1.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 49%

Tottenham Hotspur vs Bournemouth prediction: 26% / 25% / 49%
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Bournemouth
model top outcome · 49%
0-1
model score forecast
52%
over 2.5 goals probability
2026-08-01
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

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Citable facts: Tottenham Hotspur 26% / Draw 25% / Bournemouth 49%; expected goals 1.12-1.62; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Goals & Scoreline

Model Ratings

Tottenham Hotspur Elo 1642 · Bournemouth Elo 1806

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model makes Bournemouth clear favourites at 49% in this Matchweek 17 fixture at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium — Tottenham Hotspur 26%, the draw 25%, Bournemouth 49%. A clear Elo edge to Bournemouth (1806 vs 1642), and the model score forecast is 0–1.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Bournemouth?

Bournemouth are favoured at 49%. Tottenham Hotspur 26% / Draw 25% / Bournemouth 49%.

What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Bournemouth?

Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Tottenham Hotspur vs Bournemouth have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Bournemouth?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.