Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal Prediction

Dec 5, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 14 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Arsenal to win at 71%. Overall probabilities: Tottenham Hotspur 11%, draw 18%, Arsenal 71%; model score 0-2.

Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 71%

Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal prediction: 11% / 18% / 71% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Arsenal
model top outcome · 71%

0-2
model score forecast

59%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-09-20
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Tottenham Hotspur 11% / Draw 18% / Arsenal 71%; expected goals 0.80-2.29; BTTS 50%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/tottenham-hotspur-vs-arsenal-2026-12-05-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/tottenham-hotspur-vs-arsenal-2026-12-05.png" alt="Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI Premier League prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Win Probability

Tottenham Hotspur win: 11%
Draw: 18%
Arsenal win: 71%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-2
Expected goals (model lambda): 0.80 - 2.29
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams to score: 50%

Model Ratings

Tottenham Hotspur Elo 1621 · Arsenal Elo 2000

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

The model installs Arsenal clear favourites at 71% in this Matchweek 14 fixture at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium — Tottenham Hotspur 11%, the draw 18%, Arsenal 71%. A big Elo gap in Arsenal's favour (2000 vs 1621), and the model score forecast is 0–2.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 50%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal?

Arsenal are favoured at 71%. Tottenham Hotspur 11% / Draw 18% / Arsenal 71%.

What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal?

Our model score forecast is 0-2, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 50%.