Sunderland vs Manchester United Prediction

Mar 3, 08:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 28 · Stadium of Light

Match Status

Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Manchester United to win at 52%. Overall probabilities: Sunderland 23%, draw 25%, Manchester United 52%; model score 0-1.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 52%

Sunderland vs Manchester United prediction: 23% / 25% / 52% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Manchester United
model top outcome · 52%

0-1
model score forecast

52%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-08-01
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Sunderland 23% / Draw 25% / Manchester United 52%; expected goals 1.07-1.71; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

Embed this prediction

Free for your site or blog — paste this HTML. The card refreshes automatically as our model updates.

<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/sunderland-vs-manchester-united-2027-03-03-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/sunderland-vs-manchester-united-2027-03-03.png" alt="Sunderland vs Manchester United prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI Premier League prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Win Probability

Sunderland win: 23%
Draw: 25%
Manchester United win: 52%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-1
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.07 - 1.71
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams to score: 54%

Model Ratings

Sunderland Elo 1649 · Manchester United Elo 1847

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model makes Manchester United clear favourites at 52% in this Matchweek 28 fixture at Stadium of Light — Sunderland 23%, the draw 25%, Manchester United 52%. A clear Elo edge to Manchester United (1847 vs 1649), and the model score forecast is 0–1.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Sunderland vs Manchester United?

Manchester United are favoured at 52%. Sunderland 23% / Draw 25% / Manchester United 52%.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Manchester United?

Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Sunderland vs Manchester United have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Manchester United?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.