FootyTips 
Sunderland vs Liverpool 
Prediction
· Matchweek 20 · Stadium of Light
Match Status
Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Liverpool to win at 50%. Overall probabilities: Sunderland 25%, draw 25%, Liverpool 50%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 50%
model top outcome · 50%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Sunderland 25% / Draw 25% / Liverpool 50%; expected goals 1.10-1.66; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Sunderland win: 25%
- Draw: 25%
- Liverpool win: 50%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.10 - 1.66
- Over 2.5: 52%
- Both teams to score: 54%
Model Ratings
Sunderland Elo 1649 · Liverpool Elo 1829
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
The model installs Liverpool clear favourites at 50% in this Matchweek 20 fixture at Stadium of Light — Sunderland 25%, the draw 25%, Liverpool 50%. A clear Elo edge to Liverpool (1829 vs 1649), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Sunderland vs Liverpool?
Liverpool are favoured at 50%. Sunderland 25% / Draw 25% / Liverpool 50%.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Liverpool?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Sunderland vs Liverpool have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Liverpool?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.