Sunderland vs Hull City Prediction

Jan 2, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 19 · Stadium of Light

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Sunderland to win at 53%. Overall probabilities: Sunderland 53%, draw 24%, Hull City 23%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 53%

Sunderland vs Hull City prediction: 53% / 24% / 23% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Sunderland
model top outcome · 53%

1-0
model score forecast

53%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-11-06
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Sunderland 53% / Draw 24% / Hull City 23%; expected goals 1.74-1.05; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Sunderland win: 53%
Draw: 24%
Hull City win: 23%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.74 - 1.05
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams to score: 54%

Model Ratings

Sunderland Elo 1608 · Hull City Elo 1501

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-11-06. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model rates Sunderland clear favourites at 53% in this Matchweek 19 fixture at Stadium of Light — Sunderland 53%, the draw 24%, Hull City 23%. A clear Elo edge to Sunderland (1608 vs 1501), and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Sunderland vs Hull City?

Sunderland are favoured at 53%. Sunderland 53% / Draw 24% / Hull City 23%.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Hull City?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Sunderland vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Hull City?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.