Sunderland vs Hull City Prediction

Jan 2, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 19 · Stadium of Light

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Sunderland to win at 65%. Overall probabilities: Sunderland 65%, draw 20%, Hull City 15%; model score 2-0.

Model confidence: High · top outcome 65%

Sunderland vs Hull City prediction: 65% / 20% / 15% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Sunderland
model top outcome · 65%

2-0
model score forecast

56%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-08-01
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Sunderland 65% / Draw 20% / Hull City 15%; expected goals 2.07-0.88; BTTS 51%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Sunderland win: 65%
Draw: 20%
Hull City win: 15%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 2-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 2.07 - 0.88
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams to score: 51%

Model Ratings

Sunderland Elo 1649 · Hull City Elo 1433

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model rates Sunderland clear favourites at 65% in this Matchweek 19 fixture at Stadium of Light — Sunderland 65%, the draw 20%, Hull City 15%. A big Elo gap in Sunderland's favour (1649 vs 1433), and the model score forecast is 2–0.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 51%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Sunderland vs Hull City?

Sunderland are favoured at 65%. Sunderland 65% / Draw 20% / Hull City 15%.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Hull City?

Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Sunderland vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Hull City?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 51%.