FootyTips 
Sunderland vs Bournemouth 
Prediction
· Matchweek 36 · Stadium of Light
Match Status
Kickoff 14:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Bournemouth to win at 47%. Overall probabilities: Sunderland 28%, draw 25%, Bournemouth 47%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 47%
model top outcome · 47%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Sunderland 28% / Draw 25% / Bournemouth 47%; expected goals 1.16-1.57; BTTS 55%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Sunderland win: 28%
- Draw: 25%
- Bournemouth win: 47%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.16 - 1.57
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Sunderland Elo 1648 · Bournemouth Elo 1792
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates Bournemouth clear favourites at 47% in this Matchweek 36 fixture at Stadium of Light — Sunderland 28%, the draw 25%, Bournemouth 47%. A clear Elo edge to Bournemouth (1792 vs 1648), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Sunderland vs Bournemouth?
Bournemouth are favoured at 47%. Sunderland 28% / Draw 25% / Bournemouth 47%.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Bournemouth?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Sunderland vs Bournemouth have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Bournemouth?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.