Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland Prediction

Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 33 · The City Ground

Match Status

Kickoff 14:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Nottingham Forest to win at 51%. Overall probabilities: Nottingham Forest 51%, draw 25%, Sunderland 24%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 51%

Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland prediction: 51% / 25% / 24% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Nottingham Forest
model top outcome · 51%

1-0
model score forecast

52%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-11-06
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Nottingham Forest 51% / Draw 25% / Sunderland 24%; expected goals 1.67-1.09; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Nottingham Forest win: 51%
Draw: 25%
Sunderland win: 24%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.67 - 1.09
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams to score: 54%

Model Ratings

Nottingham Forest Elo 1691 · Sunderland Elo 1608

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-11-06. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model has Nottingham Forest clear favourites at 51% in this Matchweek 33 fixture at The City Ground — Nottingham Forest 51%, the draw 25%, Sunderland 24%. A clear Elo edge to Nottingham Forest (1691 vs 1608), and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland?

Nottingham Forest are favoured at 51%. Nottingham Forest 51% / Draw 25% / Sunderland 24%.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.