Nottingham Forest vs Hull City
Prediction
· Matchweek 20 · The City Ground
Match Status
Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Nottingham Forest to win at 74%. Overall probabilities: Nottingham Forest 74%, draw 16%, Hull City 10%; model score 2-0.
Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 74%
model top outcome · 74%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Citable facts: Nottingham Forest 74% / Draw 16% / Hull City 10%; expected goals 2.41-0.76; BTTS 48%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Nottingham Forest win: 74%
- Draw: 16%
- Hull City win: 10%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 2-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 2.41 - 0.76
- Over 2.5: 61%
- Both teams to score: 48%
Model Ratings
Nottingham Forest Elo 1744 · Hull City Elo 1433
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates Nottingham Forest clear favourites at 74% in this Matchweek 20 fixture at The City Ground — Nottingham Forest 74%, the draw 16%, Hull City 10%. A big Elo gap in Nottingham Forest's favour (1744 vs 1433), and the model score forecast is 2–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 48%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Hull City?
Nottingham Forest are favoured at 74%. Nottingham Forest 74% / Draw 16% / Hull City 10%.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Hull City?
Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Nottingham Forest vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Hull City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 48%.



