Nottingham Forest vs Hull City
Prediction
· Matchweek 20 · The City Ground
Match Status
Kickoff 19:30 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Nottingham Forest to win at 62%. Overall probabilities: Nottingham Forest 62%, draw 21%, Hull City 17%; model score 2-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 62%
model top outcome · 62%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Citable facts: Nottingham Forest 62% / Draw 21% / Hull City 17%; expected goals 1.98-0.92; BTTS 52%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Nottingham Forest win: 62%
- Draw: 21%
- Hull City win: 17%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 2-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.98 - 0.92
- Over 2.5: 55%
- Both teams to score: 52%
Model Ratings
Nottingham Forest Elo 1691 · Hull City Elo 1501
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-11-06. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates Nottingham Forest clear favourites at 62% in this Matchweek 20 fixture at The City Ground — Nottingham Forest 62%, the draw 21%, Hull City 17%. A clear Elo edge to Nottingham Forest (1691 vs 1501), and the model score forecast is 2–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 52%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Hull City?
Nottingham Forest are favoured at 62%. Nottingham Forest 62% / Draw 21% / Hull City 17%.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Hull City?
Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Nottingham Forest vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Hull City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 52%.



