Nottingham Forest vs Brighton and Hove Albion Prediction

Dec 5, 05:30 PM UTC · Matchweek 14 · The City Ground

Match Status

Kickoff 17:30 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Brighton and Hove Albion to win at 47%. Overall probabilities: Nottingham Forest 28%, draw 25%, Brighton and Hove Albion 47%; model score 0-1.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 47%

Nottingham Forest vs Brighton and Hove Albion prediction: 28% / 25% / 47% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Brighton and Hove Albion
model top outcome · 47%

0-1
model score forecast

51%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-11-06
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Nottingham Forest 28% / Draw 25% / Brighton and Hove Albion 47%; expected goals 1.15-1.58; BTTS 55%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Nottingham Forest win: 28%
Draw: 25%
Brighton and Hove Albion win: 47%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-1
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.15 - 1.58
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams to score: 55%

Model Ratings

Nottingham Forest Elo 1691 · Brighton and Hove Albion Elo 1839

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-11-06. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model has Brighton and Hove Albion clear favourites at 47% in this Matchweek 14 fixture at The City Ground — Nottingham Forest 28%, the draw 25%, Brighton and Hove Albion 47%. A clear Elo edge to Brighton and Hove Albion (1839 vs 1691), and the model score forecast is 0–1.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Brighton and Hove Albion?

Brighton and Hove Albion are favoured at 47%. Nottingham Forest 28% / Draw 25% / Brighton and Hove Albion 47%.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Brighton and Hove Albion?

Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Nottingham Forest vs Brighton and Hove Albion have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Brighton and Hove Albion?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.