Nottingham Forest vs Brentford
Prediction
· Matchweek 24 · The City Ground
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model sees this as a close match, with Brentford narrowly favoured (40%). Overall probabilities: Nottingham Forest 34%, draw 26%, Brentford 40%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: Low · top outcome 40%
model top outcome · 40%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Citable facts: Nottingham Forest 34% / Draw 26% / Brentford 40%; expected goals 1.29-1.41; BTTS 55%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Nottingham Forest win: 34%
- Draw: 26%
- Brentford win: 40%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.29 - 1.41
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Nottingham Forest Elo 1691 · Brentford Elo 1768
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-11-06. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has this a tight, evenly-matched Matchweek 24 fixture at The City Ground: Nottingham Forest 34%, the draw 26%, Brentford 40%. With a modest Elo edge to Brentford (1768 vs 1691), Brentford are only narrow favourites, and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Brentford?
Brentford are favoured at 40%. Nottingham Forest 34% / Draw 26% / Brentford 40%.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Brentford?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Nottingham Forest vs Brentford have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Brentford?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.



