FootyTips 
Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth 
Prediction
· Matchweek 22 · The City Ground
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model sees this as a close match, with Bournemouth narrowly favoured (38%). Overall probabilities: Nottingham Forest 36%, draw 26%, Bournemouth 38%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: Low · top outcome 38%
model top outcome · 38%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Nottingham Forest 36% / Draw 26% / Bournemouth 38%; expected goals 1.32-1.38; BTTS 55%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Nottingham Forest win: 36%
- Draw: 26%
- Bournemouth win: 38%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.32 - 1.38
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Nottingham Forest Elo 1744 · Bournemouth Elo 1806
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates this a tight, evenly-matched Matchweek 22 fixture at The City Ground: Nottingham Forest 36%, the draw 26%, Bournemouth 38%. With a modest Elo edge to Bournemouth (1806 vs 1744), Bournemouth are only narrow favourites, and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth?
Bournemouth are favoured at 38%. Nottingham Forest 36% / Draw 26% / Bournemouth 38%.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.