Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Prediction

Mar 20, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 30 · The City Ground

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model sees this as a close match, with Nottingham Forest narrowly favoured (42%). Overall probabilities: Nottingham Forest 42%, draw 26%, Aston Villa 32%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: Low · top outcome 42%

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa prediction: 42% / 26% / 32% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Nottingham Forest
model top outcome · 42%

1-0
model score forecast

51%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-09-20
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Nottingham Forest 42% / Draw 26% / Aston Villa 32%; expected goals 1.45-1.25; BTTS 55%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

Embed this prediction

Free for your site or blog — paste this HTML. The card refreshes automatically as our model updates.

<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/nottingham-forest-vs-aston-villa-2027-03-20-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/nottingham-forest-vs-aston-villa-2027-03-20.png" alt="Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI Premier League prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Win Probability

Nottingham Forest win: 42%
Draw: 26%
Aston Villa win: 32%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.45 - 1.25
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams to score: 55%

Model Ratings

Nottingham Forest Elo 1744 · Aston Villa Elo 1748

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model rates this a tight, evenly-matched Matchweek 30 fixture at The City Ground: Nottingham Forest 42%, the draw 26%, Aston Villa 32%. With near-level Elo ratings (Nottingham Forest 1744, Aston Villa 1748), Nottingham Forest are only narrow favourites, and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa?

Nottingham Forest are favoured at 42%. Nottingham Forest 42% / Draw 26% / Aston Villa 32%.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.