Newcastle United vs Ipswich Town Prediction

Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 33 · St James Park

Match Status

Kickoff 14:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Newcastle United to win at 60%. Overall probabilities: Newcastle United 60%, draw 22%, Ipswich Town 18%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: High · top outcome 60%

Newcastle United vs Ipswich Town prediction: 60% / 22% / 18% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Newcastle United
model top outcome · 60%

1-0
model score forecast

55%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-08-01
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Newcastle United 60% / Draw 22% / Ipswich Town 18%; expected goals 1.92-0.95; BTTS 52%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/newcastle-united-vs-ipswich-town-2027-04-24-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/newcastle-united-vs-ipswich-town-2027-04-24.png" alt="Newcastle United vs Ipswich Town prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
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Win Probability

Newcastle United win: 60%
Draw: 22%
Ipswich Town win: 18%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.92 - 0.95
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams to score: 52%

Model Ratings

Newcastle United Elo 1737 · Ipswich Town Elo 1566

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model rates Newcastle United clear favourites at 60% in this Matchweek 33 fixture at St James Park — Newcastle United 60%, the draw 22%, Ipswich Town 18%. A clear Elo edge to Newcastle United (1737 vs 1566), and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 52%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Newcastle United vs Ipswich Town?

Newcastle United are favoured at 60%. Newcastle United 60% / Draw 22% / Ipswich Town 18%.

What is the predicted score for Newcastle United vs Ipswich Town?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Newcastle United vs Ipswich Town have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Newcastle United vs Ipswich Town?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 52%.