Newcastle United vs Coventry City Prediction

May 8, 02:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 35 · St James Park

Match Status

Kickoff 14:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Newcastle United to win at 56%. Overall probabilities: Newcastle United 56%, draw 23%, Coventry City 21%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: High · top outcome 56%

Newcastle United vs Coventry City prediction: 56% / 23% / 21% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Newcastle United
model top outcome · 56%

1-0
model score forecast

53%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-08-01
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Newcastle United 56% / Draw 23% / Coventry City 21%; expected goals 1.81-1.01; BTTS 53%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/newcastle-united-vs-coventry-city-2027-05-08-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/newcastle-united-vs-coventry-city-2027-05-08.png" alt="Newcastle United vs Coventry City prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
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Win Probability

Newcastle United win: 56%
Draw: 23%
Coventry City win: 21%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.81 - 1.01
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams to score: 53%

Model Ratings

Newcastle United Elo 1737 · Coventry City Elo 1605

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model makes Newcastle United clear favourites at 56% in this Matchweek 35 fixture at St James Park — Newcastle United 56%, the draw 23%, Coventry City 21%. A clear Elo edge to Newcastle United (1737 vs 1605), and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Newcastle United vs Coventry City?

Newcastle United are favoured at 56%. Newcastle United 56% / Draw 23% / Coventry City 21%.

What is the predicted score for Newcastle United vs Coventry City?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Newcastle United vs Coventry City have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Newcastle United vs Coventry City?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.