FootyTips 
Manchester United vs Hull City 
Prediction
· Matchweek 31 · Old Trafford
Match Status
Kickoff 14:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Manchester United to win at 69%. Overall probabilities: Manchester United 69%, draw 19%, Hull City 12%; model score 2-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 69%
model top outcome · 69%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Manchester United 69% / Draw 19% / Hull City 12%; expected goals 2.21-0.82; BTTS 50%; blended best estimate 66.3%/20.4%/13.4%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Manchester United win: 69%
- Draw: 19%
- Hull City win: 12%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 2-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 2.21 - 0.82
- Over 2.5: 58%
- Both teams to score: 50%
Model Ratings
Manchester United Elo 1760 · Hull City Elo 1501
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-11-06. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model makes Manchester United clear favourites at 69% in this Matchweek 31 fixture at Old Trafford — Manchester United 69%, the draw 19%, Hull City 12%. A big Elo gap in Manchester United's favour (1760 vs 1501), and the model score forecast is 2–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 50%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Manchester United vs Hull City?
Manchester United are favoured at 69%. Manchester United 69% / Draw 19% / Hull City 12%.
What is the predicted score for Manchester United vs Hull City?
Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Manchester United vs Hull City?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from cloudbet, duelbits imply 64.5% Manchester United win, 21.4% draw, 14.0% Hull City win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 66.3% / 20.4% / 13.4%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Manchester United vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Manchester United vs Hull City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 50%.