FootyTips 
Manchester United vs Hull City 
Prediction
· Matchweek 31 · Old Trafford
Match Status
Kickoff 14:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Manchester United to win at 82%. Overall probabilities: Manchester United 82%, draw 12%, Hull City 6%; model score 2-0.
Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 82%
model top outcome · 82%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Manchester United 82% / Draw 12% / Hull City 6%; expected goals 2.84-0.64; BTTS 45%; blended best estimate 72.6%/17.4%/10.0%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Manchester United win: 82%
- Draw: 12%
- Hull City win: 6%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 2-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 2.84 - 0.64
- Over 2.5: 67%
- Both teams to score: 45%
Model Ratings
Manchester United Elo 1847 · Hull City Elo 1433
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model makes Manchester United clear favourites at 82% in this Matchweek 31 fixture at Old Trafford — Manchester United 82%, the draw 12%, Hull City 6%. A big Elo gap in Manchester United's favour (1847 vs 1433), and the model score forecast is 2–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 45%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Manchester United vs Hull City?
Manchester United are favoured at 82%. Manchester United 82% / Draw 12% / Hull City 6%.
What is the predicted score for Manchester United vs Hull City?
Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Manchester United vs Hull City?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from cloudbet, duelbits imply 64.5% Manchester United win, 21.4% draw, 14.0% Hull City win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 72.6% / 17.4% / 10.0%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Manchester United vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Manchester United vs Hull City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 45%.