Manchester United vs Fulham Prediction

May 30, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 38 · Old Trafford

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Manchester United to win at 55%. Overall probabilities: Manchester United 55%, draw 24%, Fulham 21%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: High · top outcome 55%

Manchester United vs Fulham prediction: 55% / 24% / 21% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Manchester United
model top outcome · 55%

1-0
model score forecast

53%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-08-01
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Manchester United 55% / Draw 24% / Fulham 21%; expected goals 1.78-1.02; BTTS 53%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Manchester United win: 55%
Draw: 24%
Fulham win: 21%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.78 - 1.02
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams to score: 53%

Model Ratings

Manchester United Elo 1847 · Fulham Elo 1723

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model makes Manchester United clear favourites at 55% in this Matchweek 38 fixture at Old Trafford — Manchester United 55%, the draw 24%, Fulham 21%. A clear Elo edge to Manchester United (1847 vs 1723), and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Manchester United vs Fulham?

Manchester United are favoured at 55%. Manchester United 55% / Draw 24% / Fulham 21%.

What is the predicted score for Manchester United vs Fulham?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Manchester United vs Fulham have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Manchester United vs Fulham?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.