FootyTips 
Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest 
Prediction
· Matchweek 21 · Etihad Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Manchester City to win at 70%. Overall probabilities: Manchester City 70%, draw 18%, Nottingham Forest 12%; model score 2-0.
Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 70%
model top outcome · 70%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Manchester City 70% / Draw 18% / Nottingham Forest 12%; expected goals 2.27-0.80; BTTS 50%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Manchester City win: 70%
- Draw: 18%
- Nottingham Forest win: 12%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 2-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 2.27 - 0.80
- Over 2.5: 59%
- Both teams to score: 50%
Model Ratings
Manchester City Elo 1965 · Nottingham Forest Elo 1691
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-11-06. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model makes Manchester City clear favourites at 70% in this Matchweek 21 fixture at Etihad Stadium — Manchester City 70%, the draw 18%, Nottingham Forest 12%. A big Elo gap in Manchester City's favour (1965 vs 1691), and the model score forecast is 2–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 50%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest?
Manchester City are favoured at 70%. Manchester City 70% / Draw 18% / Nottingham Forest 12%.
What is the predicted score for Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest?
Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 50%.