FootyTips 
Manchester City vs Liverpool 
Prediction
· Matchweek 35 · Etihad Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 14:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Manchester City to win at 55%. Overall probabilities: Manchester City 55%, draw 24%, Liverpool 21%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 55%
model top outcome · 55%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Manchester City 55% / Draw 24% / Liverpool 21%; expected goals 1.77-1.03; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Manchester City win: 55%
- Draw: 24%
- Liverpool win: 21%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.77 - 1.03
- Over 2.5: 53%
- Both teams to score: 54%
Model Ratings
Manchester City Elo 1950 · Liverpool Elo 1829
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
The model installs Manchester City clear favourites at 55% in this Matchweek 35 fixture at Etihad Stadium — Manchester City 55%, the draw 24%, Liverpool 21%. A clear Elo edge to Manchester City (1950 vs 1829), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Manchester City vs Liverpool?
Manchester City are favoured at 55%. Manchester City 55% / Draw 24% / Liverpool 21%.
What is the predicted score for Manchester City vs Liverpool?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Manchester City vs Liverpool have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Liverpool?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.