Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction

Dec 19, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 16 · Anfield

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Liverpool to win at 61%. Overall probabilities: Liverpool 61%, draw 22%, Tottenham Hotspur 17%; model score 2-0.

Model confidence: High · top outcome 61%

Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction: 61% / 22% / 17% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Liverpool
model top outcome · 61%

2-0
model score forecast

55%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-08-01
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Liverpool 61% / Draw 22% / Tottenham Hotspur 17%; expected goals 1.97-0.92; BTTS 52%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Liverpool win: 61%
Draw: 22%
Tottenham Hotspur win: 17%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 2-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.97 - 0.92
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams to score: 52%

Model Ratings

Liverpool Elo 1829 · Tottenham Hotspur Elo 1642

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model has Liverpool clear favourites at 61% in this Matchweek 16 fixture at Anfield — Liverpool 61%, the draw 22%, Tottenham Hotspur 17%. A clear Elo edge to Liverpool (1829 vs 1642), and the model score forecast is 2–0.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 52%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Liverpool are favoured at 61%. Liverpool 61% / Draw 22% / Tottenham Hotspur 17%.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 52%.