Liverpool vs Sunderland Prediction

Dec 2, 08:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 13 · Anfield

Match Status

Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Liverpool to win at 61%. Overall probabilities: Liverpool 61%, draw 22%, Sunderland 17%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: High · top outcome 61%

Liverpool vs Sunderland prediction: 61% / 22% / 17% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Liverpool
model top outcome · 61%

1-0
model score forecast

55%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-08-01
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Liverpool 61% / Draw 22% / Sunderland 17%; expected goals 1.95-0.93; BTTS 52%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/liverpool-vs-sunderland-2026-12-02-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/liverpool-vs-sunderland-2026-12-02.png" alt="Liverpool vs Sunderland prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
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Win Probability

Liverpool win: 61%
Draw: 22%
Sunderland win: 17%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.95 - 0.93
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams to score: 52%

Model Ratings

Liverpool Elo 1829 · Sunderland Elo 1649

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

The model installs Liverpool clear favourites at 61% in this Matchweek 13 fixture at Anfield — Liverpool 61%, the draw 22%, Sunderland 17%. A clear Elo edge to Liverpool (1829 vs 1649), and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 52%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Liverpool vs Sunderland?

Liverpool are favoured at 61%. Liverpool 61% / Draw 22% / Sunderland 17%.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Sunderland?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Liverpool vs Sunderland have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Sunderland?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 52%.